If reports
that the Prime Minister wants to complete a Free Trade Agreement (FTA) with
China within 12 months are true, Australia stands to be the biggest loser.
Everyone
acknowledges the China FTA negotiations have gone on for a long time. But that reflects the vital interests at
stake –
Ø interests
like access to the Chinese market for Australia’s efficient agricultural and
horticultural producers;
Ø interests
like Australia’s innovators – software developers, often in strategic areas
like mining, and music and film producers, who are constantly denied making any
money in the Chinese market because of flagrant intellectual property piracy;
and
Ø interests
like wine producers and manufacturers who face extortionate tariffs when
exporting to China, making it all but impossible to do so.
China
has to come to the party on a range of Australia’s interests. Unless China agrees to take action on the
things that are important to Australia, it would be foolish to give in to
China’s interests in more generous treatment of investment by State Owned
Enterprises, and visa concessions.
That
would not be in Australia’s interests, either in the short or long-term.
Mr
Abbott is reported to have said, "I’ve always taken the view that you should
take what you can get today and pitch for the rest tomorrow when you’ve got a
strong foundation to build upon.”
That is simply not negotiating. That is just giving the game away. Australia has been strong in negotiations
because China will not concede ground on areas of importance to Australia,
while at the same time China has made ambitious demands of Australia.
To
say “well that’s fine, we’ll take what we can get today", is a recipe for
disaster. It shows a complete lack of
understanding of how international negotiations work. It shows a complete lack of regard for
Australia’s interests. The Prime
Minister is effectively allowing Australia’s farmers and innovators to be denied
access to potentially the world’s biggest market.
If you can’t get concessions out of China in
comprehensive negotiations where their aspirations give you some leverage, what
possible hope do you have “tomorrow”, when rather than a “strong foundation to
build upon”, you’ve completely given the game away and don’t have any
foundation to negotiate with at all.
The Chinese negotiators must be rubbing their
hands with glee at the naïve statements of our Prime Minister. One can only hope that sanity will prevail. Australia could benefit from an FTA with
China, but only if China gives real ground on Australia’s legitimate
interests.