Urban planners have consistently
underestimated the proportion of new households over the period to 2022 that
will be family households. Not only are record high housing prices driving down
levels of home ownership amongst younger persons, but years of ill-conceived
housing policy assumptions have resulted in a supply of housing unsuited to
raising families.
The report’s findings are particularly
relevant to the federal electorate of Wills, in stressing that the “greatest
need for additional dwellings is from new young households and recently-arrived
migrant households”, not simply for ageing one and two person households as
falsely assumed by professional planners to date.
Official Victorian government
population projections for the City of Moreland show that the municipality’s
population is not expected to age dramatically. In light of this research, the
19 storey Pentridge tower and other high-rise apartment proposals for Moreland
should be scuttled, and planners should turn their minds to retaining family friendly
housing in Wills.
The report also vindicates Labor’s
pledge to abolish negative gearing tax concessions on new housing. Based on an
analysis of housing markets in Melbourne and Sydney, the researchers concluded
that rampant house prices, together with continued high net overseas migration,
over an extended period have disenfranchised a growing proportion of the
younger generation from home ownership. The report’s authors specifically
criticised Prime Minister Malcolm Turnbull’s opposition to Labor’s negative
gearing reforms as “monumental insensitivity to the growing catastrophe flowing
from record high housing prices for the next generation of home owners.”
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